If Stanford and Utah both finish 15-3: The Cardinal win the tiebreaker because they beat Arizona and Colorado.
If Colorado and Arizona both finish 12-6: The Wildcats win the tiebreaker for beating USC while Colorado didn’t. If Arizona and UCLA both finish 11-7, UA wins that tiebreaker for winning head-to-head.
If UCLA and USC finish tied: The Bruins win the tiebreaker because they won both head-to-head games.
Looking ahead to next week: I’ve been thinking the semifinals are the Big 10 teams plus Stanford and Utah, but if all the seeds hold up, the quarterfinals are #21 Colorado vs. #25 USC, and #14 Arizona vs. #17 UCLA. Might as well throw a dart or flip a coin instead of try to make an intelligent call about those pairings.
If the Big 10’s meet the Washingtons on Thursday, I think UCLA is more susceptible to upset than USC. For that matter, if anyone from the bottom half survives Wednesday and Thursday, it’s either of the Washingtons (and possibly both). (If anyone from the bottom quarter survives Wednesday, it’s Cal, though I’d like to see Oregon St. get their shit together, because I like watching them play.)
The Oregons (the only male coaches in the conference) are both out Wednesday. I said a month ago that Oregon St. could become the best 3-11 team in the country, and the Beavers might enter the tournament 3-15 (which isn’t exactly an endorsement of my thinking). The Beavers are talented in unusual ways, but they’re young, and make the unfathomable on-court decisions that young players make. The Ducks don’t have a Satou Sabally, Ruthy Hebard, or Sabrina Ionescu (or a Courtney Vandersloot), and Coach Graves doesn’t look as brilliant.