UCLA 49 Washington 44 1:51

As well as UCLA is playing, they’d be crushing most other teams. If the second round is the Big 10 vs. The Washingtons, those games figure to be as well-played as the championship games in lesser conferences. All four of those teams are impressive.

In the very big picture, the strength of the Pac-12 is Coach VanDerveer’s doing. Stanford forced the other 11 programs to improve enough to compete with them. During Cal’s Final Four season — hard to believe it’s been 10 years since — Coach Gottlieb said no one’s happier than Coach VanDerveer that other teams in the league are achieving the elite level.

Two years ago, it was Arizona reaching the national championship game with Stanford. Why not Utah this year?

See? I was right when I said about Coach Roberts’ program 16 years back: “Something’s happening here”. I was wrong about the ‘something’ and wrong about the ‘here’, but I was right in a general sense.

Utah 84 Stanford 78

Utah shares the conference championship. “Light the U” doesn’t cover it.

Director of basketball operations Kendall Rodriguez looks almost pleased. That woman really should develop a sense of humor and good nature.

Utah 71 Stanford 64 4:56

Having trouble breathing here.

Can’t pass out without complaining about this, though: A minute ago, ballhandler Pili took a step toward the basket, then changed her mind after a look at Brink, waiting.

“The chess match between Pili and Brink continues”, said Mary Murphy (the first Sacramento Monarchs coach, and a coach at Cal State Hayward, so I can’t be as annoyed as I’d rather).

It’s not a chess match. People remind me that I see chess from an unusual perspective, because the way I see it, unless you’ve been, say, across the board from grandmasters, you have no idea.

Utah’s 39 seconds away from winning this game.

11

Back when Connecticut and Tennessee played each November, those games could be #1 vs. #2 — add those up to make 3. The lower that number, the higher the quality of the match.

Stanford’s visit to Utah in, um, six hours is an 11. In the NCAA round of 16, you get 11’s. We’re some weeks shy of the round of 16, but I’d venture that the Pac-12 conference title game is roughly that prestigious.

I’d also venture that the Utah women’s basketball team can go at least as far as their football team did this academic year (7-2 in conference, lost the Rose Bowl).

How many seats in the Huntsman Center will be full today, do you reckon? This is the biggest game they’ve hosted since Utah joined the Pacific-12!

I’ll say this for Pacific. When Connecticut passed through Stockton on their way to Palo Alto, their community *showed up*. Pacific wanted good attendance for their #1-ranked visitors, so they distributed vouchers that would’ve conferred free admittance in case Spanos Center didn’t sell out, but it did!

I felt bad for the folks who didn’t understand the deal, and arrived with vouchers but were turned away at the door… except for one family. I was sitting on press row — Pacific got 75 media requests for that game, 73 of which came from media outlets that didn’t give a fig about the Tigers until Connecticut dropped by — and this fellow steps up, two children in tow.He says he couldn’t get a straight explanation about his vouchers from the box office, and he’s looking for help from someone. Anyone.

Which was pretty funny. He and his kids got through the front entrance without tickets, made it down to the floor without interference from ushers, and reached press row without media credentials on display.

I give him an explanation. The athletic department handed out these vouchers for admission in case they didn’t sell enough tickets, but they did.

So these are worthless? he said.

Well, you’re *in* the building.

Not game night

Cal had to at least stay close at Utah Thursdfay for that game to well follow the double overtime epic in #3 Stanford at #21 Colorado.

When Pac-12 Network finally cut from Boulder to Salt Lake, the Golden Bears and Utes were near halftime, and the Golden Bears trailed by six. Swell, until Utah made 12-of-17 in the third quarter. After that, my interests in the game were reduced to whether Alissa Pili played at all, that Kennady McQueen has 23 assists and 6 turnovers in Utah’s last 10 games, and would they keep the camera on the handshake line long enough to see Kemery Martin greet Coach Roberts.

Cal’s social media person published a splendid picture of Martin boarding the team bus, in which she looked quite cheerful (I truly think she’s better suited for life in pinko Berkeley than in her home state Utah). She looks happier in this picture, I said, than I ever saw her in Salt Lake, where her knees bothered her.

Someone said: Coaching resources and team family make a difference, and I laughed. I typed: “I’ll imagine you’re not implying those weren’t present in Utah”, but closed the app without tapping Post, because I opted to assume just that.

I’ve speculated about where Utah might be if Gylten, Maxwell, and Martin hadn’t transfered. (When I still thought Martin was a senior; hadn’t she been at Utah for five or six years already?)

Unquestionably, they’d be better with Gylten. South Dakota State is better with Gylten. Last year, the Jackrabbits were 29-9, 17-1 in the Summit League; this year, 24-5, 17-0. On the bottom line, SDSU is better, though much of Dru’s value doesn’t show in W-L records or boxscores.

Do I really think Utah would have improved on 24-3, 14-3 had she stuck around? Certainly, though Isabel Palmer is more impressive by the game, and Ines Vieira is efficient on one end while annoying and pesky on the other, so where would Gylten fit? The best teams in the Pac-12 are hounds on defense, and I would — you should, also — feel more comfortable with the ball in her hands. Where do the roster spot and playing time come from? Dunno. That would’ve been Coach Roberts’ problem if you want to call it that.

The Pac-12 Network talking heads praised the Utes as a group while discussing how they’re accepting shifting roles. Which is why Brynna Maxwell hiked to the West Coast Conference: Because she wouldn’t accept a changed role.

Would Utah be better if Maxwell were still here, *and* settled into a limited capacity? Yep, no doubt.

On Roberts’ Pacific teams, shooter Claire Conricode accomplished what Brynna Maxwell might’ve been asked to do in Utah. Claire was one of my favorite players at Pacific because she got good grades in a tough major, and when she made a trey, Pacific won. Near the end of her senior year, I counted: Pacific’s W-L was markedly better when Claire hit one than when she didn’t. Also near the end of her senior year, her role became quite limited: she was mostly stationed in corners during inbounds situations.

Coach Bradley Davis, Roberts’ top assistant then, said during Claire’s senior farewell dinner that it takes a special player to not only accept a changed role but to excel after doing so, and Claire did that twice.

If Brynna Maxwell were content to shoot situational threes, Utah would’ve have been better. The Utes are already one of the best 3-point and free throw shooting teams in the nation, but with Maxwell, better still (with everyone benefitting from more space on the floor, and so on).

It’s hard to see where Kemery Martin would fit in with this Utah team. Kemery’s a starter at Cal, and the Golden Bears need her to play well. And like I said, she really looks much happier; I’m glad she found a home here.

Tiebreaking

If Stanford and Utah both finish 15-3: The Cardinal win the tiebreaker because they beat Arizona and Colorado.

If Colorado and Arizona both finish 12-6: The Wildcats win the tiebreaker for beating USC while Colorado didn’t. If Arizona and UCLA both finish 11-7, UA wins that tiebreaker for winning head-to-head.

If UCLA and USC finish tied: The Bruins win the tiebreaker because they won both head-to-head games.


Looking ahead to next week: I’ve been thinking the semifinals are the Big 10 teams plus Stanford and Utah, but if all the seeds hold up, the quarterfinals are #21 Colorado vs. #25 USC, and #14 Arizona vs. #17 UCLA. Might as well throw a dart or flip a coin instead of try to make an intelligent call about those pairings.

If the Big 10’s meet the Washingtons on Thursday, I think UCLA is more susceptible to upset than USC. For that matter, if anyone from the bottom half survives Wednesday and Thursday, it’s either of the Washingtons (and possibly both). (If anyone from the bottom quarter survives Wednesday, it’s Cal, though I’d like to see Oregon St. get their shit together, because I like watching them play.)

The Oregons (the only male coaches in the conference) are both out Wednesday. I said a month ago that Oregon St. could become the best 3-11 team in the country, and the Beavers might enter the tournament 3-15 (which isn’t exactly an endorsement of my thinking). The Beavers are talented in unusual ways, but they’re young, and make the unfathomable on-court decisions that young players make. The Ducks don’t have a Satou Sabally, Ruthy Hebard, or Sabrina Ionescu (or a Courtney Vandersloot), and Coach Graves doesn’t look as brilliant.

Let us eat and drink, for tomorrow… you know the rest

Kim Smith — one of my favorite Sacramento Monarchs and Canadian Olympic team members, though I never watched her play for Utah — is being inducted into the Pac-12 Hall of Honor, which might cause some eyes to roll among old Monarchs boosters. I was a season ticketholder at Arco Arena for three summers, and the nicest thing I heard about said about her was “I don’t hate Kim Smith right now”. On the other hand, I thought she was a tougher defender and rebounder than she got credit for, while her shooting might’ve been up to Olympics standard if the WNBA opposition weren’t so big.


For the first time this season, there are no ties among the Pac-12 standings, which makes prediction models easier to interpret, if not easier to trust.

I couldn’t plot a graph to assess the likely results of the championship tournament that didn’t either 1) over-estimate the probability of Stanford running away with it, or 2) under-estimate the likelihood of Arizona State beating — in order — UCLA, USC, Stanford, and Utah to steal the thing. In practice, Indiana and South Carolina would be hard-pressed to do that, but in theory, the Sun Devils have more than a zero chance.

There aren’t any tournament structures or playoff formats that are not flawed in some — usually truck-sized — fashion.

Undefeated college football teams were reaching bowl games with no chance of winning the national championship. Olympic teams in this sport or that were trying to throw matches early to improve their positions for winning gold later. The teams were sanctioned for that, but they weren’t to blame — it was the pairing and seeding structure that made that mess possible. High-level duplicate bridge tournaments also had that problem — which really got ugly when both teams were tanking to improve their chances to finish on top.

The only good thing to say about knockout formats is that you know they’ll finish “on time”, and they’re dramatic as hell — which is why the men’s NCAA tournament is enjoyable for office pool bettors who don’t care about sports for 50 weeks of a calendar year. Round-robin formats are much fairer (double round-robins better still), but take lots more time to complete.

Chess tournaments got it right in the 1930s. The 1938 AVRO tournament was a double round-robin with eight — four world champions — of the best players in the world. These days, chess tournaments are ridiculous, catering to dumbasses who think chess games conducted in seconds are most watchable. Even if today’s chess tournaments are played at reasonable time controls to start, the tiebreakers at the end are conducted at faster — and if still tied, faster still — time limits.

If it were up to me, I’d abolish conference tournaments, because they diminish the import of the ‘regular season’, and elevate the import of single games. Conference tournaments screw things up in two regards, but they’re lucrative — money changes everything, usually for the worse.

I’d dump the Pac-12 tournaments, and non-conference play, conduct a quadruple round-robin in which the leader gets the automatic NCAA bid, and leave the at-large bids to the selection committee circle jerks.

There’d be a lot less money coming in — no Las Vegas vacations for boosters traveling across the country to watch their teams play one and done — but there’d be much less doubt about which teams are first, second, and sixth among equals. (The preseason holiday tournaments would be out, too, but I can live with that.)

This is it. One weekend left to determine who’s getting one or two rounds off in the post-season tournament. You don’t think Utah feels fortunate that Colorado has to deal with Stanford first? There’s no getting around the vagaries of preseason schedule-making, but there’d be less to complain about if everyone played everyone else four times instead of two.

Cal n USC n-2 OT

UCLA at Stanford was the most critical game on the schedule Sunday, and I still don’t know its result. I’m staying the bleep off the Internet until it’s rerun on P12 Network in 18 hours.

It was a very bad idea to play chess Saturday, after attending UCLA at Cal plus watching Utah at Arizona *and* doing schoolwork Friday night.

A first-place tie as the #1 seed is a bad tournament, and I couldn’t get out of bed Sunday. At 10 a.m., the alarm sounded, but no dice, and I was still in bed nine hours later.

In one respect, watching USC at Cal on P12 Network improved on being there, because the Network got background on the 10th anniversary of Cal’s Final Four team that I couldn’t get. They talked to Coach Gottlieb about that Cal team, and like I said, it takes going through gatekeepers and paperwork to talk to Coach G. these days. She’s like a coaching cult figure now, considering her NBA experience.

The Golden Bears and Trojans were tied to start the 1st, the 2nd, the 3rd, the 4th, and the overtime. Cal’s season-long difficulty in putting together 40 minutes was not in clear evidence, and they played all 45 (I’m guessing they scored a season-best in second chance points). USC’s difficulty finding someone to score was also manageable, for Sisoko scoring 30-some.

It was the best of both teams, in late February.

Safe travels, USC.

Could this afternoon’s visit to Haas Pavilion from the Trojans be USC coach Lindsay Gottlieb’s last visit to Berkeley?

Could also be the last chance I get to talk with her. In one of Coach Gottlieb’s early years at UC Santa Barbara, the Gauchos visited Fresno State, and by the time Coach left the team room to head for the bus, there was no one else left at the Save Mart Center. These days, she has NBA credentials, so there’s always a crowd of media and red tape following her.

The challenging part about keeping up with Coach G. is… keeping up with Coach G. She’s usually running somewhere — like to the bus or to Cleveland — and she speaks accordingly. Full of ideas, and short on time. That was fun when I could do it, but during one of her post-game conferences at Cal, I got caught with my hand up, and nothing to say.

I don’t know how long USC and UCLA are committed to the Big 10, but they’re gonna hate the forthcoming road trips.


Suppose Stanford gets one of the byes into the quarterfinals. That leaves one quarterfinal bye, and two first-round byes up for grabs, and five teams in contention. USC is on the outside looking in, but their last three are all games they can win: at Cal and hosting the Washingtons (though if I got longshot odds on Washington St. winning the tournament, I’d think about it).

They play such tough defense, it’s easy to root for the Trojans to find two people who’ll score a lot, or seven people who’ll score a little. In any event, I think the Trojans would benefit from a confident facade. They look like a team that can win games 30-28, and even if they were just pretending to look confident about scoring 30, I think that would serve them very well.

The sportswriter’s golf bag of clichés

I know how sportswriters operate. For 10 days, you’ll read in forecasts and predictions related to the Pac-12 championship tournament that Stanford has an ace in the pocket because “they’ve been there”.

Say Stanford and Utah get the #1 and #2 seeds, then beat USC and UCLA in the semifinals to set themselves for their third meeting of the season.

Suppose Stanford wins in Salt Like City next Sunday. Sportswriters will remind us of the legendary difficulty associated with beating the same team three times in one season, but if anyone can do it, it’s the Cardinal, because “they’ve been there”.

Stanford beat Utah in last year’s conference tournament final. Stanford has veterans from their 2021 national championship team. Coach VanDerveer was cutting down nets while Coach Roberts was in diapers. Stanford has been there.

If the clichés about beating one team three times, or holding a significant advantage by virtue of tournament experience don’t suffice, sportswriters will reach back for “Utah is still a year away”.

I wrote that Friday night before UCLA at Cal tipped off (in which Cal looked as bad as they have for a couple of months — UCLA is such a strong team; reaching at least the tournament semifinal, I think).


Unfortunately, it sorta looks right following Arizona 82 Utah 72. The more-experienced Wildcats played better defense, gathered more rebounds, took better care of the ball. Utah didn’t look like a national #4.

Have you noticed that each time Utah reaches their highest ranking yet, they lose the next game?

Jan.6: Undefeated and ranked #8 at Colorado, lost 77-67. After losing to Stanford (speaking of whom, USC — with Marshall sitting out! — was within a last-second trey of sending that game on The Farm to overtime), they dropped to #10, but then won seven straight (while teams above lost) to reach #4.

If you wanted to say Utah’s still a year away, the losses to Colorado and Arizona could be held up as evidence. On the other hand, you could also supply it as evidence of resilience. Efficient disposals of Arizona St. and Cal would be helpful in that respect.